Brad Smith and I are excited to be presenting our paper on sanctions (conditionally accepted at ISQ) at Peace Science today. Check out the manuscript here or see the slides here. See you at 3 pm in 218 Houston!
Pages
- Classes
- PS 0500 (Spring 2022)
- PS 1581 (Spring 2022)
- PS 0500 (Fall 2021)
- PS 0500 (Spring 2021)
- PS 2704 (Fall 2020)
- PS 1581 (Fall 2020)
- PS 1514 (2020 Spring)
- PS 1581 (2020 Spring)
- PS 0500 (2019 Spring)
- PS 1581 (2019 Spring)
- PS 1581 (2018 Fall)
- PS 2704
- PS 0500 (2018 Spring)
- PS 1581 (2018 Spring)
- PS 0500 (2017 Fall)
- PS 0500 (2017 Spring)
- PS 1514 (2017 Spring)
- PS 1514 (2016)
- PSC/IR 106 (2015)
- PSC/IR 265 (2015)
- PSC/IR 106 (2014)
- PSC/IR 265 (2014)
- PSC/IR 106 (2013)
- PSC/IR 106 (2012)
- CV
- Game Theory Calculator
- Papers
- Arms Negotiations, War Exhaustion, and the Credibility of Preventive War
- Bad-Faith Cooperation
- Bargaining over Costly Signals
- Bargaining over the Bomb: The Successes and Failures of Nuclear Negotiations
- Bribery and Fair Representation on the United Nations Security Council
- Cornering the Market: Optimal Governmental Responses to Competitive Political Violence
- Credible Commitment in Covert Affairs
- Deterring Intervention: The Civil Origins of Nuclear Proliferation
- Do Nonproliferation Agreements Constrain?
- Doubling Down: The Dangers of Disclosing Secret Actions
- Getting a Hand By Cutting Them Off: How Uncertainty over Political Corruption Affects Violence
- High Valuations, Uncertainty, and War
- How Fast and How Expensive? Uncertainty and Incentives in Nuclear Negotiations
- How Uncertainty About Judicial Nominees Can Distort the Confirmation Process
- Introducing π-CLEAR: A Latent Variable Approach to Measuring Nuclear Proficiency
- Issue Indivisibility as a Cause of Peace
- Militarized Disputes, Uncertainty, and Leader Tenure
- Multi-Method Research: A Case for Formal Theory
- Only Here to Help? Bargaining and the Perverse Incentives of International Institutions
- Outbidding as Deterrence: Endogenous Demands in the Shadow of Group Competition
- Policy Bargaining and Militarized Conflict
- Power to the People: Credible Communication in the Quotidian Use of Authoritarian Institutions
- Power Transfers, Military Uncertainty, and War
- Rational Overreaction to Terrorism
- Sanctions, Uncertainty, and Leader Tenure
- Scientific Intelligence, Nuclear Assistance, and Bargaining
- Shooting the Messenger: The Challenge of National Security Whistleblowing
- Slow to Learn: Bargaining, Uncertainty, and the Calculus of Conquest
- Stall Wars: When Do States Fight to Hold onto the Status Quo?
- Terrorism, Signaling, and Delegation
- The Uncertainty Trade-off: Reexamining Opportunity Costs and War
- When Technocratic Appointments Signal Credibility
- You Get What You Give: A Model of Nuclear Reversal
- Textbook
- YouTube
- Classes
William Spaniel 